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Red60
550533.7
570217.0
499516.6
Blue68
6642.1
360234.3
89422.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406601001502006068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.7
22.022.8
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
66
#4
42.10.2
21.221.4
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
5702
#22
17.00.7
10.311.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 17.3
3602
#20
34.30.2
30.030.1
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
4995
#31
16.60.7
13.213.9
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 6.2
894
#24
22.90.2
13.213.4
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0