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Red28
89422.9
132227.0
277134.0
Blue26
85739.5
482719.2
554723.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64572040801001202826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#10
34.01.9
29.727.8
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
857
#6
39.51.7
28.727.0
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
1322
#23
27.01.9
20.618.7
Auto3.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 3.8
5547
#15
23.21.7
15.914.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
894
#24
22.91.9
15.013.2
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 3.6
4827
#27
19.21.7
15.513.8
Auto0.8
Teleop18.4
End0.0