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Red68
51759.9
159625.3
571230.0
Blue101
531429.5
258627.1
437516.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5136020608010012014068101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#16
30.00.9
21.922.8
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
29.53.1
15.218.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
1596
#26
25.30.9
22.723.6
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 1.8
2586
#17
27.13.1
15.318.3
Auto0.4
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
5175
#36
9.90.9
5.96.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4375
#30
16.13.1
8.912.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0