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Red79
571230.0
550533.7
570921.7
Blue48
553426.3
277134.0
570217.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5856405070807948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.9
23.124.0
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2771
#10
34.00.5
27.426.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
5712
#16
30.00.9
24.525.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 3.6
5534
#28
26.30.5
17.917.4
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
5709
#14
21.70.9
12.613.5
Auto0.6
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
5702
#22
17.00.5
13.312.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.9
End0.0