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Red8
522311.8
51759.9
437516.1
Blue9
483512.3
6642.1
471520.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3458010015020025089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#30
16.11.5
12.611.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 26.0
66
#4
42.12.1
29.827.7
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
5223
#39
11.81.5
17.916.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4715
#33
20.62.1
16.214.2
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5175
#36
9.91.5
8.36.7
Auto0.2
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4835
#32
12.32.1
10.18.1
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0