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Red96
471520.6
553426.3
360234.3
Blue121
159625.3
85739.5
521327.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5587010015020025096121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#20
34.31.7
30.832.5
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 5.2
857
#6
39.51.8
34.236.0
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
5534
#28
26.31.7
17.419.0
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
27.81.8
25.227.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
4715
#33
20.61.7
14.215.9
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
1596
#26
25.31.8
25.327.2
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0