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Red42
507226.9
47025.4
531429.5
Blue80
550533.7
6642.1
554723.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558101001502002503003504280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.7
22.822.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 12.6
66
#4
42.10.0
31.631.7
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
5072
#12
26.90.7
20.519.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 6.8
33.70.0
26.526.5
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
470
#21
25.40.7
18.117.4
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
5547
#15
23.20.0
21.521.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0