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Red60
437516.1
553426.3
570921.7
Blue86
497018.4
499516.6
471520.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45432030506070806086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#28
26.30.7
19.019.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
4715
#33
20.62.1
14.516.6
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5709
#14
21.70.7
15.215.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
4970
#29
18.42.1
14.516.6
Auto0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4375
#30
16.10.7
11.912.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4995
#31
16.62.1
15.417.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.3
End0.0