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Red48
523023.8
557421.4
85739.5
Blue88
159625.3
501413.6
7449.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757240601001201404888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#6
39.51.1
38.437.3
Auto1.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
blue by 9.7
74
#3
49.30.6
41.442.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
5230
#18
23.81.1
19.618.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
1596
#26
25.30.6
26.627.2
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
5574
#19
21.41.1
18.016.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
5014
#37
13.60.6
8.89.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0