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Red138
531429.5
554723.2
7449.3
Blue62
277134.0
353710.5
521327.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997005015020013862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#3
49.32.0
46.048.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 15.3
2771
#10
34.00.7
36.235.5
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Second
29.52.0
29.031.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 1.7
27.80.7
29.328.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
5547
#15
23.22.0
22.724.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
3537
#38
10.50.7
11.210.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop11.0
End0.0