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Red128
6642.1
205468.9
571230.0
Blue144
550533.7
7449.3
360234.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610750150200250128144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.1
67.567.3
Auto13.6
Teleop55.3
End0.0
red by 19.6
74
#3
49.30.5
48.849.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
66
#4
42.10.1
40.740.5
Auto1.0
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 7.8
3602
#20
34.30.5
33.834.3
Auto1.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Third
5712
#16
30.00.1
28.528.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
33.70.5
33.233.7
Auto1.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0