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Red97
353930.0
332234.7
526310.0
Blue86
549820.0
557714.4
20119.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764601001509786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.4
34.434.8
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 14.8
5498
#15
20.00.6
19.420.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
30.00.4
29.630.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
201
#19
19.50.6
18.919.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5263
#27
10.00.4
9.610.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5577
#14
14.40.6
13.914.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0