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Red28
553113.3
46929.2
20119.5
Blue62
353930.0
440510.2
28025.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605502040801001201402862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#12
29.21.8
35.934.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
30.00.3
28.729.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
201
#19
19.51.8
17.215.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
280
#9
25.80.3
14.715.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Third
5531
#24
13.314.7
21.56.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
4405
#37
10.20.3
14.614.9
Auto0.6
Teleop9.7
End0.0