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Red26
12321.4
553113.3
24012.9
Blue6
57565.0
556713.2
20119.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33190406080100120266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#10
21.40.0
14.614.6
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
201
#19
19.50.8
10.19.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
5531
#24
13.30.0
6.66.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
5567
#29
13.20.8
6.05.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
240
#21
12.90.0
10.810.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 7.9
5756
#39
5.00.8
5.44.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.2
End0.0