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Red15
12321.4
50509.4
83522.8
Blue12
525714.3
46929.2
366828.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33770501001502001512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#6
22.81.3
17.616.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 6.4
469
#12
29.24.1
36.132.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Second
123
#10
21.42.2
14.612.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
28.02.4
20.918.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
5050
#28
9.41.3
9.07.7
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5257
#16
14.34.1
15.811.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0