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Red64
568517.5
514411.0
332234.7
Blue138
525714.3
557714.4
102363.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4251010015020064138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.9
24.325.2
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 28.3
63.04.3
34.038.3
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Second
5685
#13
17.50.9
11.812.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
5577
#14
14.44.3
4.99.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
5144
#26
11.01.6
9.210.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5257
#16
14.37.2
12.820.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0