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Red32
568517.5
43909.7
568813.5
Blue12
43956.1
514411.0
19416.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250204060801003212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5685
#13
17.50.0
14.114.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
5144
#26
11.01.2
6.95.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Second
5688
#18
13.50.1
8.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 7.2
1941
#38
6.31.2
7.36.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
4390
#32
9.70.1
10.110.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
4395
#36
6.11.2
12.811.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0