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Red80
24012.9
568517.5
366828.0
Blue176
332234.7
12321.4
102363.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319105015020080176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.9
18.420.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 34.9
63.04.5
46.250.7
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
Second
5685
#13
17.51.9
14.016.0
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 17.2
34.74.5
26.531.1
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
240
#21
12.93.2
8.711.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
123
#10
21.47.6
12.420.0
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0