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Red44
525714.3
107618.3
50683.7
Blue15
43909.7
19416.3
526310.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221010304050604415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#11
18.31.1
9.510.6
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 8.3
5263
#27
10.00.6
6.45.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Second
5257
#16
14.31.8
10.712.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
4390
#32
9.70.6
9.28.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5068
#35
3.71.8
1.93.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1941
#38
6.30.6
6.76.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0