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Red43
283210.1
360446.3
50683.7
Blue27
568813.5
43956.1
107618.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522001001504327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.3
28.228.5
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 28.0
1076
#11
18.30.1
7.37.4
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
2832
#34
10.10.5
12.312.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5688
#18
13.520.1
28.88.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
5068
#35
3.70.5
8.59.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4395
#36
6.10.1
10.010.1
Auto0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0