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Red36
556713.2
50509.4
267610.6
Blue66
509014.0
283210.1
2737.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2354040801001201403666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#29
13.20.5
11.712.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 23.9
27
#4
37.10.7
32.933.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.3
End0.0
Second
2676
#30
10.60.5
9.610.1
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5090
#22
14.00.7
11.212.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5050
#28
9.40.4
7.68.0
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2832
#34
10.11.0
7.58.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0