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Red47
552312.8
261112.7
20119.5
Blue15
525714.3
262014.1
553113.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45441020304050607080904715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#19
19.50.0
20.120.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
5257
#16
14.31.9
14.913.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Second
5523
#25
12.80.0
12.312.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
2620
#23
14.11.9
16.314.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
2611
#17
12.70.0
14.414.4
Auto1.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5531
#24
13.31.9
14.612.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.7
End0.0