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Red90
568517.5
107618.3
83522.8
Blue16
50509.4
283210.1
514411.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5524040801001201401609016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
835
#6
22.81.9
21.022.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 11.8
5144
#26
11.00.8
13.112.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Second
1076
#11
18.31.9
14.116.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
2832
#34
10.10.8
8.47.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
5685
#13
17.51.9
17.018.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 8.1
5050
#28
9.40.7
8.07.3
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0