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Red121
360446.3
102363.0
440510.2
Blue107
353930.0
332234.7
526310.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11265050100150200121107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.2
59.559.7
Auto0.5
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 28.3
34.70.5
34.835.3
Auto0.2
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
46.30.2
42.843.0
Auto1.6
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 16.3
30.00.5
30.030.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
4405
#37
10.20.2
6.76.9
Auto0.6
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
5263
#27
10.00.5
10.010.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0