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Red98
283429.3
438138.1
567511.0
Blue72
365627.7
345230.3
515211.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766620401001201401609872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.3
37.738.1
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
30.30.0
30.230.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
29.30.3
28.929.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 1.5
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
11.00.3
10.611.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5152
#21
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0