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Red39
448215.9
387523.6
562310.5
Blue8
365819.8
524817.2
44539.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49460206080100120398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.2
23.823.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
19.80.6
20.419.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4482
#16
15.90.2
16.115.9
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
17.20.6
17.817.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5623
#27
10.50.2
10.710.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
4453
#18
9.10.6
9.79.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0