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Red5
421619.9
517310.9
194011.6
Blue1
440912.2
432712.2
125414.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42230608010012014051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.5
15.714.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
1254
#20
14.61.6
11.09.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
1940
#22
11.61.5
8.97.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4327
#35
12.21.0
9.88.8
Auto0.3
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
5173
#32
10.91.5
16.314.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4409
#15
12.21.6
5.84.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0