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Red19
365819.8
44539.1
125414.6
Blue63
544812.8
562310.5
345230.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801001963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.3
23.221.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 10.4
30.32.1
26.028.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
1254
#20
14.62.2
12.310.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 1.8
5448
#14
12.82.1
7.49.6
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
4453
#18
9.12.2
10.17.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5623
#27
10.52.1
9.812.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0