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Red67
43687.5
365627.7
515211.7
Blue93
525613.1
438138.1
387523.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415801001506793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.1
27.728.8
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 10.3
38.11.8
29.931.7
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
5152
#21
11.71.8
10.011.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 11.9
23.61.8
19.120.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4368
#34
7.51.8
7.59.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.6
5256
#10
13.11.8
8.610.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0