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Red6
387523.6
125414.6
55326.3
Blue38
448215.9
51617.6
440810.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3427020406080100638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.5
20.920.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 7.7
4482
#16
15.90.4
13.714.1
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1254
#20
14.60.8
10.19.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
4408
#31
10.80.7
8.49.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5532
#39
6.30.8
2.92.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5161
#30
7.60.4
7.17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0