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Red48
562310.5
55326.3
365627.7
Blue18
553512.8
519412.5
448215.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394201001504818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
27.227.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 11.8
4482
#16
15.91.3
14.112.9
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5623
#27
10.50.5
11.612.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5535
#11
12.82.0
15.313.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5532
#39
6.30.5
2.12.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5194
#12
12.52.0
13.911.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0