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Red18
550112.4
51829.0
54627.8
Blue0
544812.8
152812.4
524817.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23330406080100120140180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#25
12.40.6
9.38.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 4.8
17.21.3
13.712.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5182
#29
9.00.6
7.57.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5448
#14
12.82.1
10.48.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5462
#33
7.80.6
8.88.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1528
#19
12.42.1
8.56.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0