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Red20
194011.6
56105.7
365627.7
Blue51
83013.9
421619.9
519412.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801002051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.0
27.626.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
19.90.7
15.215.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
1940
#22
11.61.6
13.311.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
830
#23
13.90.5
14.615.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
5610
#38
5.71.5
5.43.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 6.8
5194
#12
12.50.7
11.912.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0