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Red56
525613.1
553512.8
567511.0
Blue88
438138.1
365819.8
150419.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22800501001505688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#10
13.11.2
12.213.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 25.0
38.10.7
36.236.9
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
5535
#11
12.81.3
11.212.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 7.1
19.80.7
19.920.6
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
11.01.3
8.59.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 8.6
1504
#13
19.60.7
17.718.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0