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Red100
436231.6
438437.2
83017.3
Blue52
150419.1
49426.9
553013.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7755010015020010052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
33.934.3
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 10.3
494
#10
26.90.1
27.026.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
31.60.4
28.328.7
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 12.5
1504
#22
19.10.1
19.319.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
830
#24
17.30.4
14.014.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 3.5
5530
#18
13.80.1
13.913.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0