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Red4
353614.8
54368.2
55616.5
Blue42
83017.3
49426.9
14112.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184206080100120140442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#31
14.81.6
6.04.4
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 12.0
494
#10
26.90.2
19.219.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
5436
#36
8.21.6
6.85.2
Auto0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 9.1
830
#24
17.30.2
9.79.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5561
#34
6.51.6
10.18.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
141
#32
12.50.2
11.111.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0