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Red50
568511.8
191825.6
506710.6
Blue54
86232.1
438437.2
400330.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3460020801001201401605054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#16
25.60.9
22.923.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 11.6
37.20.3
17.717.4
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
5685
#26
11.80.9
7.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 20.2
862
#4
32.10.3
19.819.5
Auto0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
5067
#30
10.60.9
8.99.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 19.5
30.10.3
20.420.1
Auto7.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0