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Red86
357219.9
571021.7
436231.6
Blue64
365818.5
400428.4
118930.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363702060801008664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.64.0
12.216.2
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 1.2
30.42.1
18.220.3
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Second
21.74.0
12.016.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
28.42.1
10.512.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
3572
#23
19.94.0
13.717.7
Auto0.9
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
3658
#17
18.52.1
9.811.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0