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Red50
570414.8
150419.1
55616.5
Blue92
436231.6
189617.8
118930.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314202060801001201401605092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#22
19.12.8
17.119.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 12.5
31.64.2
16.220.3
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
5704
#21
14.82.8
8.311.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 15.6
30.44.2
20.324.5
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
5561
#34
6.52.8
8.511.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 11.4
1896
#14
17.84.2
5.69.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0