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Red70
511426.7
432713.1
400428.4
Blue34
52347.8
353614.8
36559.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4116060801001201407034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.42.6
12.715.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 13.5
3536
#31
14.81.6
4.46.0
Auto0.9
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
26.72.6
15.317.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 17.2
3655
#33
9.51.6
6.68.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
4327
#27
13.12.6
10.813.4
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.3
5234
#37
7.81.6
9.210.8
Auto0.8
Teleop7.0
End0.0