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Red70
47767.8
400428.4
277118.9
Blue90
189617.8
438437.2
191825.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405501001507090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.42.2
16.919.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 8.8
37.23.0
22.425.4
Auto1.1
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
2771
#25
18.92.2
22.124.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1918
#16
25.63.0
20.623.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
4776
#38
7.82.2
5.27.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 10.1
1896
#14
17.83.0
11.314.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0