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Red15
36559.5
366820.9
400330.1
Blue21
52347.8
52567.8
432526.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542801001501521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.13.1
23.720.6
Auto7.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 3.9
26.21.0
18.317.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
3668
#12
20.93.1
15.812.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
5256
#39
7.81.0
4.33.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Third
3655
#33
9.53.1
12.89.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
5234
#37
7.81.0
10.69.6
Auto0.8
Teleop7.0
End0.0