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Red70
570414.8
6623.1
436231.6
Blue50
29711.8
335721.7
568511.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65280501001502007050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.6
24.825.5
Auto0.6
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 9.9
3357
#19
21.71.2
19.020.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
66
#11
23.10.6
22.423.0
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 11.3
5685
#26
11.81.2
7.38.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
5704
#21
14.80.6
14.515.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 3.0
297
#28
11.81.2
8.59.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0