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Red4
55616.5
261110.9
277118.9
Blue66
511426.7
506710.6
10727.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402080100120140160466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#25
18.93.1
24.121.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 8.6
107
#13
27.50.8
24.925.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Second
2611
#29
10.93.1
11.38.3
Auto1.4
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 15.8
26.70.9
22.123.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5561
#34
6.53.3
11.48.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5067
#30
10.60.8
7.38.1
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0