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Red66
189617.8
511426.7
29711.8
Blue64
118930.4
83017.3
86232.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456701001502006664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.0
25.426.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 5.4
862
#4
32.10.1
27.527.4
Auto0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
1896
#14
17.81.0
12.914.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 12.5
30.40.1
26.125.9
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
297
#28
11.81.0
12.213.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
830
#24
17.30.1
12.612.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0