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Red84
10727.5
432713.1
366820.9
Blue44
400428.4
553013.8
54368.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503401001508444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#13
27.52.3
25.828.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 0.9
28.40.4
23.824.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3668
#12
20.92.3
14.416.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
5530
#18
13.80.4
9.59.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
4327
#27
13.12.3
9.111.4
Auto0.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 4.9
5436
#36
8.20.4
4.34.8
Auto0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0