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Red62
49426.9
332224.3
506710.6
Blue30
83017.3
357219.9
335721.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554702040801001201406230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#10
26.90.4
28.128.5
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
3357
#19
21.71.2
19.518.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
3322
#20
24.30.4
20.721.1
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 4.4
3572
#23
19.91.2
18.016.8
Auto0.9
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
5067
#30
10.60.4
7.17.4
Auto0.9
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
830
#24
17.31.2
12.411.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0