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Red100
191825.6
332224.3
86232.1
Blue84
47767.8
553013.8
6623.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions773105010015010084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#4
32.11.9
28.830.7
Auto0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 9.0
66
#11
23.12.5
22.024.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
1918
#16
25.61.9
22.324.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 11.8
5530
#18
13.82.5
12.114.6
Auto0.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
3322
#20
24.31.9
21.122.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 16.5
4776
#38
7.82.5
5.37.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0