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Red71
365818.5
52567.8
277118.9
Blue74
335721.7
366820.9
54368.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394102060801007174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#25
18.92.0
18.220.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 2.8
3357
#19
21.71.8
18.220.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
3658
#17
18.52.0
16.418.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3668
#12
20.91.8
17.419.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
5256
#39
7.82.0
5.87.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5436
#36
8.21.8
6.17.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.2
End0.0