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Red92
295931.6
438124.9
571024.9
Blue128
205437.1
362036.0
448214.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738305010015020092128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
31.60.4
30.130.4
Auto0.0
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
37.10.7
36.036.8
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
4381
#11
24.90.4
23.423.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 11.1
36.00.7
35.035.7
Auto1.9
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
5710
#22
24.90.4
23.423.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 10.6
4482
#27
14.30.7
13.213.9
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0